US Think Tank Warns of India-Pakistan Armed Conflict Likely in 2026 Over Kashmir Terrorism

Brief by Shorts91 Newsdesk / 11:00am on 30 Dec 2025,Tuesday India Global

A US think tank has warned of potential armed conflicts involving Pakistan in 2026. The Council on Foreign Relations reports a "moderate likelihood" of renewed hostilities between India and Pakistan over terrorism in Kashmir, with moderate impact on American interests. This follows a four-day mini-war in May 2025 after Pakistan-sponsored terrorists killed 22 civilians in Pahalgam, prompting India's Operation Sindoor. Despite a ceasefire, both nations are rapidly acquiring defense equipment. The report also flags a moderate likelihood of conflict between Pakistan and Afghanistan, triggered by cross-border militant attacks. The second Trump administration has sought to mediate these tensions. Intelligence suggests over 30 Pakistani terrorists currently operate in Jammu region. (PC: India Today)

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